Delphi Studies and Other Consensus-Building Studies

A Delphi study is a methodology in which expert panels are surveyed over multiple rounds to achieve convergence (consensus) of opinions. Responses are collected anonymously, and a summary of results is fed back after each round, thereby reducing bias among experts and achieving more valid consensus formation. 

Features of Delphi Studies

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Anonymity

Prevents the peer pressure common in face-to-face meetings, enabling the collection of purer expert judgment. 

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Iterative Feedback

Through an iterative process of questionnaires, aggregation, anonymous feedback, and response revision over multiple rounds, opinions are gradually converged. 

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No Physical Meetings Required 

Free from constraints of time, location, and travel. Studies are conducted using online tools. 

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Expert Panel 

Aimed at systematically integrating expert knowledge and insights. 

Value of Delphi Studies

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Identifying unmet needs in clinical practice

By systematically and anonymously converging the insights of multiple experts, it is possible to objectively extract the essential challenges faced in clinical practice, rather than relying on individual voices. 

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Visualizing evidence gaps

Expert consensus on where data is lacking, priority of RWE/PMS/exploratory studies, and which endpoints and patient populations are appropriate is extremely important as a scientific basis for research planning.

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Deepening relationships with KOLs 

Because Delphi is a scientific method that minimizes bias through anonymity, multiple rounds, and quantitative evaluation, it enjoys high credibility from KOLs. This builds a strong foundation of transparency and scientific rigor in the relationship between Medical Affairs and KOLs.

Disease Areas Suited for Delphi Studies

Particularly effective in areas where medical consensus is divided or where clear guidelines do not exist.

Areas with complex treatment decisions

Oncology

Autoimmune
Diseases

Central Nervous
System

Cardiovascular

Treatment algorithms are complex and physician judgment often diverges, making expert consensus formation valuable.

Areas with large evidence gaps

Rare Diseases

Pediatrics

Novel Modalities
(gene therapy, cell therapy)

Due to data shortages, there is a high need to systematize expert knowledge.

Areas where patient-centered assessment is important

Diabetes, Heart Failure, Skin Diseases,
Chronic Pain and other lifestyle diseases

Gynecology

Effective for organizing evaluation criteria from the patient perspective, such as QOL, PROs, and symptom burden.

When to Conduct Delphi Studies

Delphi and other consensus studies can be utilized across a wide range of situations from early development through post-launch. 

Early Development

When disease understanding and organization of unmet needs are required: clarifying the realities and challenges of clinical practice, organizing important outcomes, prioritizing patient populations, and building a foundation for differentiation from competing treatments. 

Clinical Development Phase 

When validating trial design: appropriateness of primary/secondary outcomes, clinical validity of inclusion/exclusion criteria, alignment with real clinical challenges, and consensus formation on comparator settings. 

Pre-Approval to Pre-Launch 

When organizing the scientific positioning of the product: which patient groups will benefit most, challenges with existing treatments and use cases prioritized by experts, and organizing KOL priorities and expectations. 

Post-Marketing 

When leveraging for data gaps and challenges in real-world clinical practice: consensus on appropriate use, identification of priority research themes for RWE and PMS, positioning in treatment algorithms, and understanding efficacy/safety in specific subgroups. 

Track Record

Track Record Journal Poster

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEMATOLOGY (SPRINGER)

Modified Delphi method on the use of ropeginterferon in polycythemia vera patients

Modified Delphi method

2023-2024